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2024-12-14 03:56:55

Some short-term inter-bank bonds performed brilliantly. The yield of 2-year active bonds "21 interest-bearing bonds 02" went down 5bp to reach 1.1%, which was 11bp upside down from the current 1-year active bonds "24 discount bonds 67" yield of 1.21%.Deutsche Bank: There is little hope that the British economy will rebound at the end of the year. Sanjay Raja, an economist at Deutsche Bank, wrote in a research report that the British economy will face more twists and turns in the future. Data released on Friday showed that Britain's GDP contracted again in October from the previous month, which surprised the market. Raja said that business surveys predict that economic activity will further weaken in the last few months of this year. In his research report, he reminded investors that the uncertainty in taxation and expenditure, coupled with the reduction in retail and service consumption caused by bad weather, added more resistance to Britain's fragile economic recovery.On the 13th, caustic soda dropped by 3.03%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 13th, the main contract caustic soda 2501 closed, with a turnover of 57,100 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 1,383 lots. The total contract turnover of caustic soda futures was 94,800 lots, an increase of 27,900 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 71,100 lots, an increase of 2,202 lots over the previous day. Short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 72,700 lots, an increase of 1,157 lots over the previous day. (Sina Futures)


On the 13th, the European futures of the container freight index rose by 7.03%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the data of the exchange, as of December 13th, the European futures of the main contract container freight index closed at 2502, up or down by +7.03%, with a turnover of 41,900 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were net, and the difference position was 3,022 lots. A total of 78,900 lots of European futures contracts were traded, an increase of 8,599 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 25,100 lots, an increase of 466 lots over the previous day. The short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 22,100 lots, a decrease of 120 lots from the previous day. (Sina Futures)It is reported that Canada is considering imposing export taxes on commodities such as uranium and oil to counter Trump's tariff threat. Canada is studying the imposition of export taxes on major commodities exported to the United States, including uranium, oil and potash, in the case that Trump fulfills the comprehensive tariff threat. Officials familiar with the internal discussions of Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau's government said that the export tax would be Canada's last resort. According to people familiar with the matter, retaliatory tariffs on goods made in the United States and export controls on some Canadian products are more likely to come first. However, these officials said that if Trump decides to launch a full-scale trade war, the commodity export tax is a practical option, which will push up the costs of American consumers, farmers and enterprises. They said that the Trudeau government may also propose to expand its export control power in the latest report on the country's financial and economic situation scheduled to be released on Monday. It is reported that Canada is currently the largest external oil supplier in the United States. Some refineries rely on cheaper Canadian heavy crude oil, and there are few other options. The impact of rising costs is particularly severe in the Midwest of the United States, where nearly half of the crude oil used by fuel producers to produce gasoline and diesel comes from Canada.US Secretary of State Blinken: discussed the ceasefire in Gaza with Turkish Foreign Minister Fidan. Blinken: All parties reached a broad consensus on what we want to see in Syria. We discussed the necessity of continuing efforts to crack down on the extremist organization "Islamic State". We have seen encouraging signs in the past few weeks that a ceasefire in Gaza is possible.


On the 13th, coking coal fell by 2.15%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 13th, the main contract coking coal closed at 2501, up or down by -2.15%, with a turnover of 104,800 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 15,553 lots. The total contract turnover of coking coal futures was 180,200 lots, an increase of 8,845 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 163,200 lots, an increase of 4,563 lots over the previous day. The short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 194,300 lots, an increase of 5,926 lots over the previous day. (Sina Futures)Zhu Xiaohong, the former party secretary of Guizhou Aerospace Hospital, was decided to be arrested. According to the news of "Guizhou Procuratorate" WeChat WeChat official account, the case of Zhu Xiaohong, the former party secretary of Guizhou Aerospace Hospital (director level), was investigated by Zunyi City Supervision Committee and transferred to the procuratorate for review and prosecution. Under the jurisdiction designated by Zunyi Municipal People's Procuratorate, Fenggang County People's Procuratorate will review and prosecute. A few days ago, the Fenggang County People's Procuratorate made an arrest decision on Zhu Xiaohong on suspicion of accepting bribes. The case is being further processed.Dutch International: Britain's economic growth momentum has further slowed down, but the budget boost is coming. Dutch International Bank said that Britain's GDP fell again in October, although this may exaggerate the degree of recent economic slowdown. According to the bank's forecast of Britain's annual GDP in 2025, the British economy will surpass most western European countries next year. This may tell more about the economic health of other parts of continental Europe, but it also reflects the impact of the recent fiscal stimulus measures in Britain to a great extent. Compared with the budget of the last Conservative government, public expenditure has increased by about 60 billion pounds, accounting for more than 2% of GDP. Most of the increased expenditure will flow to government departments in the form of daily funds, and most of it will eventually appear in the form of wages. Therefore, the transmission of finance to broader economic growth may be quite high.

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